{"id":3412,"date":"2013-10-08T13:05:22","date_gmt":"2013-10-08T20:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/politicalhat.com\/?p=3412"},"modified":"2013-10-08T13:05:22","modified_gmt":"2013-10-08T20:05:22","slug":"the-haruspices-of-the-ipcc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/2013\/10\/08\/the-haruspices-of-the-ipcc\/","title":{"rendered":"The Haruspices of the IPCC"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The climate models that predict doom and destruction are increasingly being proven not just <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/07\/27\/another-uncertainty-for-climate-models-different-results-on-different-computers-using-the-same-code\/\" target=\"_blank\">wrong<\/a>, but <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/09\/16\/lomborg-climate-models-are-running-way-too-hot\/\" target=\"_blank\">spectacularly wrong<\/a>.\u00a0 Many of the prophets of apocalyptic destruction are finding it necessary to <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/09\/14\/breaking-ipcc-ar5-report-to-dial-back-climate-sensitivity\/\" target=\"_blank\">dial back<\/a> their prognostications of immanent annihilation. The <em>Nation Academy of Sciences<\/em> has even had to <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/09\/13\/national-academy-of-sciences-climate-models-still-decades-away-from-being-useful\/\" target=\"_blank\">admit<\/a> that:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;[G]enuine and important uncertainties remain (e.g., the response of clouds, ecosystems, and the polar regions) and need to be considered in developing scientifically based strategies for societal response to climate change.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yet, groups like the IPCC are still reporting that they are &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/hotair.com\/archives\/2013\/08\/20\/big-news-from-the-un-were-actually-like-totally-95-percent-sure-that-human-activity-is-driving-climate-change\/\" target=\"_blank\">95% certain<\/a>&#8221; that out-of-control climate catastrophe!\u00a0 How can they have the confidence of a haruspex poking through rooster entrails?\u00a0 They even <a href=\"https:\/\/ipcc.ch\/report\/ar5\/wg1\/#.Uk97dUCWY18\" target=\"_blank\">admit<\/a> that their models have &#8220;difficulties&#8221;:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;The main difficulties are sparse coverage in many observed variables, short time series for observed trends, lack of correlation between observed quantities and projected past or future trends, and systematic errors in the\u2026 the ambiguity of possible performance metrics and the difficulty of associating them with predictive skill&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3413\" title=\"IPCC Haruspex\" src=\"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/IPCC_Haruspex.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/IPCC_Haruspex.jpg 550w, https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/IPCC_Haruspex-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><!--more-->&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The IPCC even tries to ignore that their predictions were wrong by saying they could never even be right because they were just <em>projections<\/em> which were pushed as proof that we need to radically alter society to stave off the End Times:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;Projections from previous IPCC assessments can also be directly compared to observations\u2026 with the caveat that these projections were not intended to be predictions over the short time scales for which observations are available to date. Unlike shorter lead forecasts, longer-term climate change projections push models into conditions outside the range observed in the historical period used for evaluation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><div id=\"attachment_3414\" style=\"width: 330px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/09\/16\/lomborg-climate-models-are-running-way-too-hot\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3414\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3414\" title=\"lomborg models too hot\" src=\"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/lomborg_models_too_hot.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"256\" srcset=\"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/lomborg_models_too_hot.png 640w, https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/lomborg_models_too_hot-300x240.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 320px) 100vw, 320px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-3414\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Pictured: A &quot;Projection&quot; that isn&#39;t - via Watts Up With That?<\/p><\/div><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;So, how can they be &#8220;95% certain&#8221;?\u00a0 They can&#8217;t even get the <a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2013\/07\/27\/another-uncertainty-for-climate-models-different-results-on-different-computers-using-the-same-code\/\" target=\"_blank\">same results<\/a> using the same code on different computers!\u00a0 Their inaccurate models that don&#8217;t actually predict the observable future say so! How do they say so?\u00a0 Because the scientists who get paid to make divinations say so!\u00a0 &#8220;Climate Science&#8221; appears to be the modern say equivalent of a Haruspex divining the future by poking the entrails of a rooster.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;And woe to the unbelievers\u2026<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The climate models that predict doom and destruction are increasingly being proven not just wrong, but spectacularly wrong.\u00a0 Many of the prophets of apocalyptic destruction are finding it necessary to dial back their prognostications of immanent annihilation. The Nation Academy &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/2013\/10\/08\/the-haruspices-of-the-ipcc\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3413,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[22,86],"class_list":["post-3412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-science","tag-fail","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3412"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3412\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3569,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3412\/revisions\/3569"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3413"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/impeachreno.org\/politicalhat\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}